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EUR/USD trades with limited direction on Tuesday, holding around 1.1640 at the time of writing as market participants avoid taking major positions ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting. Expectations are firmly anchored as Futures markets assign nearly a 90% chance to a 25-basis-point rate cut, according to the CME FedWatch tool.The US Dollar (USD) remains subdued despite Monday’s brief support from higher Treasury yields and a temporary rise in risk aversion following the earthquake in Japan. The US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to hover near six-week lows, with investors awaiting the tone of the policy statement, potential updates to…

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When most people think of gold rushes, they imagine California in 1849 or the Klondike in the Yukon. But one of the most transformative rushes happened halfway around the world, in Australia’s rugged landscape. The New South Wales Gold Rush of 1851 didn’t just change the trajectory of a struggling British colony, it reshaped global gold markets and laid the foundation for Australia’s place as one of the world’s leading gold producers. The Discovery That Changed Everything In February 1851, Edward Hargraves, an adventurer who had tried his luck in California, struck gold near Bathurst, New South Wales. He recognized…

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  High Expectations How Markets Really React to News High Expectations Navigating financial markets around major news events can feel unpredictable even for experienced traders. Many hope for a simple formula: if this news happens, the market will do that. Unfortunately, trading doesn’t work that way. While news releases often spark quick volatility, the follow-through is rarely straightforward. In this article, we break down how markets react to news, what “consensus expectations” really mean, and why price action can often defy logic. Why You Can’t Trade Every News Event the Same Way There is no guaranteed strategy for “playing” news…

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China’s Politburo held its latest meeting on Monday, with the key takeaways noted below.Key quotesEconomic operation is generally stable.Will implement more active macro policies.Will continue to prevent, resolve risks in key areas.Will stablise employment, markets, enterprises’ expectations.Continue to implement more active fiscal policies.Moderately loose monetary policy.Will build a strong domestic market.Will better coordinate between China’s economic work and international economic and trade battle next year.Market reactionAt the time of writing, AUD/USD is holding higher ground near 0.6645, adding 0.08% on the day. Australian Dollar FAQs One of the most significant factors for the Australian Dollar (AUD) is the level of interest rates…

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Newsquawk Week Ahead: 8th-12th December 2025 Highlights include FOMC, RBA, BoC, SNB, UK GDP, Aussie Jobs, Chinese Trade and Inflation   How does Inflation affect Interest rates MON: Chinese Trade Balance (Nov) TUE: RBA Announcement, EIA STEO, German Trade Balance (Oct), US JOLTS (Oct) WED: FOMC Announcement, BoC Announcement, Chinese Inflation (Nov), Swedish GDP (Oct), Norwegian CPI (Nov), US Employment Cost Index (Q3) THU: SNB Announcement, CBRT Announcement, OPEC MOMR, IEA OMR, Australian Jobs Report (Nov), Swedish CPIF (Nov) FRI: UK GDP (Oct), German/French/Spanish Final CPI (Nov) CHINESE TRADE BALANCE (MON): Note, the data will encapsulate the first full period…

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On Friday, the EUR/USD remained steady, poised to finish the week with gains of 0.39%, trade subsided capped by the 1.1650 figure as traders eyed the Federal Reserve’s decision next week.Euro holds gains; US inflation and sentiment data shape market outlookEconomic data boosted the US Dollar, which trimmed some of its previous losses against the Euro. Inflation data in the US was mostly aligned with estimates, while Consumer Sentiment revealed by the University of Michigan (UoM) showed signs of improvement.In the Eurozone, growth figures for the bloc showed the economy’s resilience with monthly data exceeding forecast. European Central Bank (ECB)…

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